COMMENTARY: The Dynamics of Voter Behaviour in Local Government Elections: Trinidad and Tobago

By: Paul Sarran

August 18, 2023

The results of the local government election in Trinidad and Tobago indicate that both the United National Congress (UNC) and the People’s National Movement (PNM) continue to hold a similar level of influence and control in the local governance of the country. Each of these political parties currently controls seven corporations, which are administrative divisions responsible for local governance and services.

This outcome suggests that the political landscape and balance of power at the local level have remained relatively stable since the previous local government election in 2019. The UNC and the PNM are two major political parties in Trinidad and Tobago, and their ability to maintain control over a similar number of corporations indicates that they have retained a significant level of support and influence among the electorate.

Continuity of Policies: The local government bodies controlled by the UNC and the PNM are likely to continue implementing policies and programs consistent with their respective party platforms and ideologies. Competition and Accountability: The even distribution of control could lead to healthy competition between the two parties at the local level, as well as increased accountability as they strive to deliver effective governance and services to their constituencies. Local Development: The election results may reflect the priorities and preferences of different communities within Trinidad and Tobago, and the elected officials will be responsible for addressing local issues and contributing to the overall development of their regions. Political Dynamics: The outcome could influence broader political dynamics in the country, potentially affecting the strategies and priorities of both the UNC and the PNM as they prepare for future national elections.

The fact that the United National Congress (UNC) made inroads into districts traditionally controlled by the People’s National Movement (PNM) in the recent local government election suggests a shift in political dynamics and voter preferences. This outcome could have several implications:

1.     Changing Voter Preferences: The UNC’s success in PNM-controlled districts indicates that a portion of the electorate in these areas has shifted their support from the PNM to the UNC. This could be due to various factors, such as dissatisfaction with the PNM’s performance, resonance with the UNC’s campaign messages, or specific local issues.

2.     Increased Competition: The UNC’s success in PNM strongholds could lead to increased competition between the two parties in future elections, both at the local and national levels. The PNM might be prompted to review and adjust its strategies in these districts to regain voter support.

3.     Diversification of Representation: The UNC’s inroads into PNM districts could lead to a more diverse representation in local governments. This may bring different perspectives and priorities to the decision-making process, contributing to a more inclusive and representative governance.

4.     Impact on National Politics: Local government elections often serve as indicators of broader political trends. The UNC’s success in PNM strongholds could influence the political narrative and strategies of both parties as they prepare for upcoming national elections. It could lead to a reevaluation of campaign strategies, policy positions, and party platforms.

5.     Focus on Key Issues: The UNC’s success in PNM districts might also reflect a successful alignment of their campaign messages with the concerns and priorities of voters in those areas. This could prompt both parties to pay closer attention to these issues and incorporate them into their policy agendas.

6.     Potential for Coalition Building: The shifting political landscape could open up opportunities for coalition-building or alliances between parties, either at the local or national level, as parties seek to secure broader support bases.

7.     PNM Response: The PNM may react by analysing the factors that led to their loss in these districts and working to address them. This could involve reviewing their communication, policy implementation, and engagement strategies to better connect with voters.

The recent local government election in Trinidad and Tobago witnessed a historic occurrence – the lowest voter turnout in the country’s electoral history. This unprecedented phenomenon raises critical questions about the factors contributing to this decline, the potential consequences for democratic engagement and representation, and the measures that can be taken to address this issue.

Causes of Low Voter Turnout: Several factors can be attributed to the historically low voter turnout:

1.     Voter Apathy and Disengagement: One significant factor is the disillusionment or apathy among a segment of the electorate. This could stem from a perception of inefficacy or a lack of trust in the political process and its ability to bring about meaningful change.

2.     Lack of Clear Distinction: If the policy platforms or candidates presented by the competing parties lacked clear differentiation, voters might have felt that their choices were not sufficiently distinct to warrant their participation.

3.     Socioeconomic Factors: Economic challenges, unemployment, and other socio-economic factors could have influenced voter participation, especially among marginalized or disadvantaged communities.

The historically low voter turnout in Trinidad and Tobago’s recent local government election serves as a wake-up call to the challenges facing democratic participation and representation. By identifying the causes, understanding the implications, and implementing remedies, Trinidad and Tobago can work towards revitalizing its democratic process, ensuring that all citizens are engaged, and their voices are heard in shaping local governance.


The election underscores the importance of understanding voter behaviour and preferences. The fact that the United National Congress (UNC) made inroads into districts traditionally controlled by the People’s National Movement (PNM) suggests that voter sentiment is not static and can be influenced by a variety of factors, including local issues, party messaging, and candidate appeal. The election results highlight the competitive nature of politics. Parties must constantly adapt to changing circumstances and respond to the evolving needs and expectations of their constituents. The UNC’s success in PNM strongholds indicates that parties must be attuned to local dynamics and tailor their strategies accordingly. The success of the UNC in PNM districts could reflect a successful alignment of party platforms with the concerns of specific communities. This underscores the significance of responsive and representative governance, where parties effectively address the unique needs of different constituencies or districts. The diversification of representation resulting from the UNC’s inroads can be seen as a positive development. It reinforces the idea that diverse voices and perspectives contribute to more well-rounded and effective decision-making, both at the local and national levels. The election outcome emphasizes the critical role of political strategy and communication. Parties must effectively communicate their vision, policies, and plans to the electorate. The success of the UNC in PNM districts could be linked to their ability to connect with voters and convey a compelling message.

As an aspiring political scientist, the recent local government election in Trinidad and Tobago offers valuable insights into the intricate world of politics and governance. The outcome of this election demonstrates the dynamic nature of democratic systems and the multifaceted factors that influence voter behaviour and political shifts.

(Paul Sarran is a student pursuing a Political Science degree at the University of the West Indies Global Campus in St. Augustine, Trinidad & Tobago. 

He is currently in his final years of college and has intentions to become a Political Scientist or an Independent Senator)

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