By: Staff Writer
March 26, 2021
The active La Soufriere volcano in St Vincent and the Grenadines (SVG) is experiencing more earthquakes as scientists still watching and waiting for it to explosively erupt, but the warning alert remains at orange.
The increase in earthquakes at La Soufriere could suggest that an explosive eruption could happen soon, the lead scientist monitoring the volcano said on Wednesday.
La Soufriere has been erupting effusively since late December, and a new dome has formed alongside that left inside the crater after the 1979 eruption of the volcano.
On Wednesday, NEMO said that scientists at the Belmont Observatory, near Rose Hall, have noted a change in seismic activity associated with the ongoing eruption of the volcano.
Professor Richard Robertson, geologist the lead scientist monitoring the volcano, said that the scientists had always said that that volcano could continue effusing material for a long time, it could stop effusing material, or it could erupt effusively.
He said: “One of the things that will drive it to go explosive is fresh material coming in; new material to give it energy,” adding that the earthquakes which began on Tuesday could indicate that fresh magma is trying to make its way to the service.
“So this is the first indication that maybe this is happening. We have to track it to see if it is really indicative of that,” the scientist explained.
However, this week’s events suggest that new material could be making its way to the surface.
“This magma is deeper down, is trying to get to the surface, it’s trying to find a pathway through and in doing that, it is causing vibrations in the ground, which our instruments are detecting,” Robertson said.
The last time the La Soufriere volcano erupted was in April, 1979 where the island suffered tremendous damage and people had to be evacuated.
Since the effusive eruption began in December, scientists have installed additional monitoring equipment across the country.
Robertson said that the information generated this week shows that the equipment is functioning as intended.
“That is what they are set up there to do. They are set up there precisely to tell us if something like that is trying to come through and we are then about to track it to see if it gets to the point where it is going to get to the surface and that’s one of the reasons we have a monitoring network. We try to track that,” Robertson further explained.
“So, in a sense, it’s probably not a good thing that is happening because it tells us that this eruption could go to a stage where we all really don’t want it to get to, but also, it tells us that the instrumentation that we put in is working; it’s detecting the events that could indicate something else that is more nasty that could happen.”
Robertson led the team that was initially deployed from the Seismic Research Centre in Trinidad after the effusive eruption began.
At the end of January, he returned to Trinidad, where the centre is located, and has since returned to relieve the teams that replaced him.
He said that the new dome that resulted from the ongoing effusive eruption is probably twice as large as it was in January.
“… at the end of January and it was bobbing around 4 or 5 million cubic metres. Now, it’s 13.1 [million cubic metres] last time we checked,” Robertson said.
“Last time, it was kind of something that we could still say, call a dome, but right now, it looks more like a — almost like a lava flow in a sense because it’s extended so much.”
In January, the dome measured between 100 and 200 metres across, but it is now 900 metres long.
“So it stretches from around the Larikai gap all the way to the place where the fumarole is on the pre-existing dome.”
Robertson said that the dome continues to grow and despite its large size, the rate of growth is still about 2 cubic metres per second, though it fluctuates between 1.5 and 2 cubic metres per second.”
He noted that eruption continues to be effusive but there have been some slight changes since Tuesday.
“… we have now started to feel what we call proper earthquakes,” he said, adding that up until Tuesday, most of the earthquake activity from the volcano was really related to the dome building itself up — which scientists call dome emplacement events.
“So you have magma coming out and oozing out and as it oozes out, its solid rock, because it is solid rock, is moving, it has gas and so on, all of those general seismic signals.”
He said these signals don’t travel very far and were only captured by stations very close to the volcano.
“But early yesterday (Tuesday) we had a small swarm of events and late yesterday evening we started to have proper earthquakes, what we call volcanic tectonic earthquakes, which are earthquakes associated with more rock breaking and magna trying to get through from below the ground, not something at the surface.”
Robertson said that these types of earthquakes tend to have a little bit more energy and larger in magnitude and detected by more volcano monitoring stations.
“And because they have more energy, because they are bigger, it’s possible that they are being felt, and we have reports that they have been felt by people on the volcano itself,” he said, referring to communities located on the slope of the volcano.
Despite all of this new activity, the National Emergency Management Organisation (NEMO) in SVG has kept its alert level to orange and have not started the evacuations of the immediately affected areas.
NEMO, in their last bulletin, said: “There have been no changes in activities at the La Soufrière Volcano over the past twenty four hours.
“2. Volcano tectonic earthquakes continue to be recorded beneath the volcano and their magnitude is such that they can be felt in villages such as Fancy, Owia, Point and Sandy Bay.
“3. The alert level remains at Orange. The National Emergency Management Organisation is reminding the public that no evacuation order or notice has been issued.
“4. The National Emergency Management Organisation (NEMO) is also encouraging residents especially persons living in communities close to the volcano to heighten their preparedness in the event that it becomes necessary to evacuate at short notice.
“5. NEMO continues to appeal to the public to desist from visiting the La Soufrière Volcano, especially going into the crater, since doing so is extremely dangerous.
“6. NEMO will continue to provide regular updates on all activities taking place at the La Soufrière.
