June 18, 2024
Recent developments and outlook. Growth accelerated to 5.1 percent in 2023 and is projected to remain robust at 4 percent in 2024. Inflation (year-on-year) has stayed negative since mid-2023, triggering Board Consultation under the Monetary Policy Consultation Clause. However, as base effects drop out of the year-on-year calculation, headline inflation is expected to return to the central bank’s tolerance band (2-4 percent) by late 2024. Formal employment, private-sector wages, and poverty are all moving in the right direction.
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